Hello and Welcome!
This website is designed to communicate my research and share related ideas. I hope it will be useful for you, but also that it may start productive discussions that lead to exciting new ideas!
I am a Research Fellow at the University of Strathclyde working on analytics in the energy sector, with a focus on the production, use and evaluation of energy forecasts. I am supported by an EPSRC Innovation Fellowship.
My research focuses on developing statistical for the production and use of forecasts for the energy sector. This draws on aspects of power systems operation, electricity markets, meteorology and decision science.
In September 2015 I completed a PhD titled "Spatio-temporal Prediction of Wind Fields" at the University of Strathclyde's Wind Energy Systems Centre for Doctoral Training. I developed methods for predicting future wind speed and wind power at multiple locations - the motivation being that forecasts at some target location can be improved with knowledge of what is happening in other places. In fact, it is most efficient to make forecasts for multiple wind farms simultaneously using each farm as a 'sensor' to improve predictions at the others. This research focused on short-term wind and wind power forecasting, but has wide ranging applications beyond wind to other energy forecasting problems (solar and wave), as well as more general multi-dimensional prediction problems in signal processing, economics and disease propagation, for example. My PhD was supervised by Dr Stephan Weiss and Prof David Infield, and I was a visiting PhD student at the Technical University of Denmark for 3 months in 2014 under the supervision of Prof Pierre Pinson.
Since completing my PhD, I have continued to develop novel methodologies for wind, solar, price and demand forecasting, and a number of decision-making problems including energy trading and maintenance scheduling. The effective communication of complex forecast information is crucial to support decision-makers - and is becoming increasingly important as the penetration of weather-dependent generation increases in the UK and globally. I am working to improve both forecast production and use to support the integration of renewable energy and tackle climate change.
You can download my CV here.